Aug08 Market Update: Austin Home Sales Pricing

Yesterday I explained how Months of Inventory helps us follow the health of Austin’s real estate market.  Pricing is another factor that gives experts insight into the health of our housing economy.

austin real estate statistical data chart average sales price

Generally, a buyer’s market has two major simptoms:  1) High Months of Inventory Figure; 2) Falling Average Home Sales Price.  We are currently seeing a relatively high amount of inventory in Austin that experts estimate will take 6.1 months to sell which puts us in line with the numbers we saw in 2003 & 2004 as I explained in my Tuesday market update.  However, the average price of a home in Austin is remaining strong, meeting or beating 2007‘s figures, and amazingly beating the average home sales price of the 2006 boom.  The Median Sales Price figures are above the levels that we have seen all decade!

austin real estate median home sales price july august 2008

I know you’ve had your doubts about what you keep hearing from both me and the experts, so I hope these numbers, from the Texas A&M Real Estate Center, demonstrates the helth of Austin’s real estate market even in this buyer’s market.

What does this all mean?
It means that homes are staying on the market longer, but are bringing higher prices than they did in any year in history.  Unlike other areas in the nation, Austin home prices are not falling.  Austin remains a top buy for investors and transplants from elsewhere in the country.  Our real estate here in Austin is still considered a bargain.

Aug08 Market Update: Months of Inventory

Real Estate has been all the buzz still.  Is is as bad as it seems?  Is Austin immune?  Is the market going to crash?  Is inventory still on the rise?  Are prices really falling?  There are literally questions flying all around me lately.  I’ll let the numbers speak for themselves.

Austin’s Real Estate Inventory Statistical Data Chart
Austin Real Estate Months of Inventory Chart Statistics

Months of Inventory is said to show the general health of a market.  A high figure means a buyer’s market (less healthy) and a low number means a seller’s market (generally considered a strong market).  Compared to the previous 5 years, Austin’s residential home inventory started around average.  It has climbed into 2003 & 2004 territory, proving that we are currently experiencing a buyer’s market where buyers can generally spend more time looking and offer lower.  In Austin, we are still seeing strong prices.  Experts agree that although we are in a buyer’s market with a cooling sales record, prices have not declined, only the amount of time that a home spends on the market has increased.

Check the blog all this week for more statistical insight into today’s real estate market in Austin.

Austin Real Estate Market Update: July 2008

Statistics for June 2008 were just released and we’re seeing much of the same… a general slow down but still strong prices.

Sellers…
In short, you’re not going to get screwed if you want to sell your house this year but be aware that it will take some time.  If your home is average and you have a good, smart Realtor® marketing your home, expect up to 6 months.  If you’re over-priced or there is an issue with your home (including lack of staging), it’ll be more than that.  If you’re willing to price low for a quick sale to avoid paying several months of extra interest, it may still take a couple of months.

Buyers…
So what does this mean for buyers?  It means that deals are out there but not everywhere.  You’ll have to look hard and wait patiently to find that great deal.  Instead, just take advantage of the competitive pricing.  It won’t be a steal, but it will be a good deal.  Often, if there is a steal out there, a Realtor® is likely to snatch it up themselves or for an investor before you can blink an eye.  If you’re interested in investing, take your goals and plans to a Realtor®.  If you’re in need of a family home, make your home search about value.  You’ll make money in the long run because future buyers will see the value as well.

Don’t believe me?  That’s fine.  Take a look for yourself.  The latest Austin market statistics are always available at http://liveaustinrealestate.com/statistics.

Austin Real Estate Months of Inventory Chart

Austin Home Sales Volume Real Estate Statistics Decade Chart

Austin Median Home Price Statistics Chart

Austin Real Estate Average Sales Price of Homes Chart

Homeowners & Renters See The World Through Different Lenses

Renters have a different view of real estate economy than homeowners.


Source: PEW Research Center

It seems that renters are much more pessimistic about rising home prices. I’m not sure of the participants in this study were planning on buying a home in the near future, but this study does show something interesting about how you see the market when you own property versus when your at the mercy of a landlord.

More renters believe home prices are rising.

Are they pessimistic about their buying power? They may be feeling left out of the prosperity homeowners found during the boom years leading up to our current conditions.

Renters aren’t worried about the housing economy.

Renters expect prices to climb more than homeowners do. So why aren’t they buying? First-time home-buyers are seeing harder times with mortgage woes. It takes some patience and hard work to get a home loan, and perhaps renters aren’t willing to go through with it.

Americans are not optimistic about the economy.


Source: PEW Research Center

Yet this study is extremely interesting. We saw some of the greatest appreciations in Austin real estate in 2006. Many people sold out to collect their equity while late-comers created a building and flipping surge, especially in central Austin real estate. 2007 was much slower than 2006, especially in the last two quarters. Yet, the number of those who believe the economy is in poor shape has not increased as dramatically as I would expect. I think this shows how pessimistic people are about the economy anyway. We live in a fairly prosperous country and Austin has a steady growth rate which leads to steady real estate prices, yet I would expect similar numbers on a local study based on the fears and questions I receive.

Is this thing on?

I still wonder if anyone can actually hear me. Don’t be afraid to buy. We are currently in a RARE buyer’s market here in the Austin real estate market and at the same time, interest rates are at HISTORIC lows. I’m shopping for real estate in Austin now so don’t blame me if you don’t get in on this buyer’s market! Get your head out of that national news paper, turn off CNN, and get real. We’ve seen studies showing that people think the bottom is falling out of the American economy for years and it hasn’t. In fact, the primary reason for the housing slowdown and the buyer’s market here in Austin is the attitudes of people, not actual economic fact. Now that sellers are getting real, take a chance and think about investing in Austin’s real estate market. I’ll show you how!

Austin Area Market Statistics


The February MLS statistics from the Austin Board of Realtors showed some surprises.  That’s 2008 in blue above with prices still on the rise over 2007 prices despite this year’s media-watching, weary consumer.  The median sales price of single-family homes grew 2% over February 2007 even though the number of sales was down 10%.  This is proof of the economic growth we keep seeing in Austin even with the national news watering down the performance of our local market.

Remember, real estate is local!  Austin has bucked so-called national trends time and again, along with many other cities.  March statistics are due out soon and will be posted to the blog as soon as they are available.